{"id":34440,"date":"2024-12-19T15:04:01","date_gmt":"2024-12-19T20:04:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bonnefield.com\/?p=34440"},"modified":"2026-09-01T14:03:19","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T18:03:19","slug":"2024-is-now-the-time-to-invest-in-canadian-farmland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bonnefield.com\/fr\/news\/2024-is-now-the-time-to-invest-in-canadian-farmland\/","title":{"rendered":"T3 2024 \u2013 Est-ce le moment d\u2019investir dans les terres agricoles canadiennes?"},"content":{"rendered":"T\u00e9l\u00e9charger le PDF<\/span><\/a>\n\n

Introduction<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

Record-high stock markets, geopolitical crises, US political uncertainty, potential rebound in inflation, currency volatility, interest rate uncertainty… we live in “interesting” times. All this uncertainty has led to an increasing number of investors looking to alternative assets to complement and hedge their investment portfolios. Historically, one of the more attractive assets in times of uncertainty is Canadian farmland. The asset class offers low volatility and has a track record of average annual returns of 7.6%(1)<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0Au cours des 70 derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, sans p\u00e9riodes significatives de baisse de valeur. Des donn\u00e9es plus r\u00e9centes montrent que les prix des terres agricoles canadiennes ont augment\u00e9 en moyenne de 9,11 TP3T par an au cours de la derni\u00e8re d\u00e9cennie.(1)<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0But after several years of strong farmland returns, is now still a good time to invest in Canadian farmland, or are we at a “peak”?<\/p>\n

Let’s look at some historic data to see if today’s “timing” is good, bad or indifferent to expected farmland returns.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

“Timing the Market” Not a Relevant Concern for Farmland<\/strong>\u00a0D\u00e9terminer le bon moment pour investir est une caract\u00e9ristique courante sur les march\u00e9s boursiers et obligataires, car personne ne souhaite entrer sur le march\u00e9 au sommet du march\u00e9. La situation est diff\u00e9rente pour un actif peu volatil et non corr\u00e9l\u00e9 comme les terres agricoles canadiennes. Pour illustrer ce point, imaginez que vous ayez investi dans des terres agricoles canadiennes chaque ann\u00e9e de 1975 \u00e0 2023. Vous auriez obtenu des rendements positifs sur chacun de ces investissements, avec seulement huit ann\u00e9es d\u2019entr\u00e9e affichant des rendements n\u00e9gatifs.(1)<\/a>(2)<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0En revanche, les actions mondiales ont enregistr\u00e9 des rendements n\u00e9gatifs pendant 17 des premi\u00e8res ann\u00e9es au cours de la m\u00eame p\u00e9riode.(3)<\/a><\/sup>\u00a0Ce r\u00e9sultat n\u2019est pas surprenant pour les amateurs d\u2019investissements dans les terres agricoles, attir\u00e9s par leur faible volatilit\u00e9 et leurs rendements non corr\u00e9l\u00e9s. Nous avons inclus dans la figure 2 ci-dessous un r\u00e9sum\u00e9 des rendements historiques sur la p\u00e9riode de d\u00e9tention pour les deux classes d\u2019actifs.<\/p>\n

What may be surprising even to long-time farmland investors, however, is that investing in Canadian farmland immediately following a year of heightened value appreciation (10% or above) still resulted in strong, long-term returns in line with historical averages. The data suggest that, rather than waiting for a “dip” in the market to invest in farmland, having exposure to the asset and benefitting from its long-term correlation to inflation should support positive investment returns with limited volatility.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

La tendance peut-elle se poursuivre ?<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

Comme le montre le graphique ci-dessus, les prix des terres agricoles ont historiquement augment\u00e9 \u00e0 un rythme soutenu. Le sch\u00e9ma typique pour cette classe d\u2019actifs est une p\u00e9riode de forte croissance, g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement li\u00e9e aux super cycles des mati\u00e8res premi\u00e8res, suivie d\u2019une croissance plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9e. Il est tr\u00e8s rare que les baisses absolues des valeurs fonci\u00e8res aient eu lieu, et seulement de mani\u00e8re temporaire. Cet historique de croissance \u00e0 long terme peut amener certains \u00e0 se demander si la croissance continue de la valeur est durable. Chez Bonnefield, nous pensons que c\u2019est le cas et que la valeur des terres agricoles continue de progresser de mani\u00e8re significative.<\/p>\n

En tant que ressource rare, les terres agricoles de qualit\u00e9 dans les r\u00e9gions b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiant de conditions climatiques et hydriques positives \u00e0 long terme seront de plus en plus demand\u00e9es. Les terres agricoles constituent la base sur laquelle nous continuerons \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre aux besoins croissants de production agricole pour satisfaire la demande alimentaire et \u00e9nerg\u00e9tique alternative. La compr\u00e9hension de ce fait, ainsi que des facteurs de valeur des terres agricoles (par exemple, les revenus agricoles et la croissance de la productivit\u00e9, le regroupement des terres agricoles, etc.), aide \u00e0 comprendre pourquoi nous pensons que les terres agricoles offrent un fort potentiel d'appr\u00e9ciation de la valeur \u00e0 long terme.\u00a0<\/p>\n

C\u2019est le moment id\u00e9al pour investir dans les terres agricoles canadiennes<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bonnefield expects to continue to see growth in Canadian farmland values supported by farm revenue and productivity growth. Along with the limited price volatility of the asset class, we believe that investing in Canadian farmland offers attractive risk-adjusted returns and that investors can benefit from earlier exposure to the asset class rather than waiting for “the right time” to enter the market. \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

Abo<\/strong>\u00e0 Bonnefield Financial<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bonnefield est un chef de file canadien de la gestion d'investissements en terres agricoles et agroalimentaires. Nous offrons du capital aux agriculteurs et exploitants agroalimentaires progressistes par le biais de financements de location de terres et de prises de participation minoritaires. Bonnefield s'engage \u00e0 pr\u00e9server les terres agricoles pour l'agriculture et collabore avec des agriculteurs et exploitants agroalimentaires ax\u00e9s sur la croissance afin de les aider \u00e0 d\u00e9velopper leurs exploitations, \u00e0 r\u00e9duire leur endettement et \u00e0 financer leur retraite et la rel\u00e8ve. Nos investisseurs sont des particuliers et des investisseurs institutionnels qui croient en l'avenir durable de l'agriculture canadienne. \u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Sources<\/strong>\u00a0<\/p>\n

1.\u00a0<\/a>Statistique Canada. Tableau 32-10-0047-01 Valeur \u00e0 l'acre des terres et des b\u00e2timents agricoles au 1er juillet, https:\/\/www150.statcan.gc.ca\/t1\/tbl1\/fr\/tv.action?pid=3210004701.\u00a0<\/p>\n

2.<\/a>\u00a0Holding period returns calculated by varying investment entry and exit years and adding a 2% cash yield (mid-point of the cash yield target of Bonnefield’s farmland strategy). Capital appreciation is assumed to be identical to Statistics Canada’s farmland values dataset as at July 1st of each year.\u00a0<\/p>\n

3.\u00a0<\/a>Rendement total de l'indice MSCI World, grandes et moyennes capitalisations, exprim\u00e9 en CAD, https:\/\/www.msci.com\/end-of-day-data-search.<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n

Ce document est fourni \u00e0 titre d'information uniquement et ne constitue ni une offre ni une sollicitation d'achat ou de vente de titres dans toute juridiction o\u00f9 une telle offre ou sollicitation n'est pas autoris\u00e9e. Toute offre de ce type est faite uniquement conform\u00e9ment aux documents d'offre et aux conventions de souscription applicables. Les fonds Bonnefield (les \u201c\u00a0Fonds\u00a0\u201d) sont actuellement r\u00e9serv\u00e9s aux investisseurs r\u00e9pondant \u00e0 certains crit\u00e8res d'admissibilit\u00e9. Les Fonds ne seront ni approuv\u00e9s ni d\u00e9sapprouv\u00e9s par aucune autorit\u00e9 de r\u00e9glementation des valeurs mobili\u00e8res. Les investisseurs potentiels doivent se fier exclusivement aux documents d'offre des Fonds, qui d\u00e9crivent les facteurs de risque li\u00e9s \u00e0 une d\u00e9cision d'investissement. Aucune d\u00e9claration ni garantie d'aucune sorte n'est donn\u00e9e ni ne doit \u00eatre sous-entendue quant au rendement \u00e9conomique ou aux cons\u00e9quences fiscales d'un investissement dans les Fonds. Les Fonds sont destin\u00e9s \u00e0 des investisseurs avertis capables d'accepter les risques associ\u00e9s \u00e0 un tel investissement, y compris une perte substantielle ou totale de leur investissement. Cette communication est fournie \u00e0 titre d'information uniquement et ne saurait \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme exhaustive. Les donn\u00e9es relatives \u00e0 la performance des investissements pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es dans ce document ne doivent pas \u00eatre utilis\u00e9es pour pr\u00e9dire les rendements futurs. L'exhaustivit\u00e9 et l'exactitude des prix de march\u00e9, des donn\u00e9es et des informations provenant de tiers ne sont pas garanties et ces informations peuvent \u00eatre modifi\u00e9es sans pr\u00e9avis. Les investisseurs potentiels sont invit\u00e9s \u00e0 consulter un conseiller professionnel comp\u00e9tent avant toute d\u00e9cision d'investissement. Lorsque des performances historiques sont pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es, il convient de noter que les performances pass\u00e9es ne pr\u00e9jugent pas des performances futures et ne doivent pas servir de base \u00e0 une d\u00e9cision d'investissement. Rien ne garantit que les investissements non r\u00e9alis\u00e9s seront finalement r\u00e9alis\u00e9s aux valorisations prises en compte pour le calcul des performances des Fonds pr\u00e9sent\u00e9es ici, le cas \u00e9ch\u00e9ant. Les performances de ces investissements, une fois r\u00e9alis\u00e9s, pourraient diff\u00e9rer sensiblement. Ce document ne peut \u00eatre transmis, reproduit ni utilis\u00e9, en tout ou en partie, \u00e0 d'autres fins, ni divulgu\u00e9 ou mis \u00e0 la disposition, directement ou indirectement, en tout ou en partie, de toute autre personne sans l'autorisation \u00e9crite pr\u00e9alable de Bonnefield.<\/em>\u00a0La copie, la distribution ou le partage de ce document ou de son contenu est express\u00e9ment interdit sans le consentement expr\u00e8s et \u00e9crit de Bonnefield.<\/em>\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Record-high stock markets, geopolitical crises, US political uncertainty, potential rebound in inflation, currency volatility, interest rate uncertainty… we live in “interesting” times. All this uncertainty has led to an increasing number of investors looking to alternative assets to complement and hedge their investment portfolios. 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